原文:（译文在后面）ReportfromDavos:RiskManagementSurvivorsOfferCautionaryTalesWhartonmanagementprofessorMichaelUseemjoinedheadsofstate,politicians,CEOs,celebritiesandothersatthisyear'sWorldEconomicForuminDavos,Switzerland,where,hesays,themoodseemedtobeoneofmutedoptimism.But,ashepointsout,therewasalsoarecognitionofhowmuchstillneedstobedonetopreventthekindsofcatastrophes--bothnaturalandcreated--thatchangedthelivesofsomanyindividualsoverthepasttwoyears.Useem,directorofWharton'sCenterforLeadershipandChangeManagement,offersthisreportonDavos.Amongthe2,500businessexecutives,politicalleadersandotherswhoattendedthe2011meetingoftheWorldEconomicForuminDavos,themoodwasoneofcautiousrecuperationfromaself-induced,life-threateningillness.Thefinancialcrisishadbeensurmountedbutnotwithoutlingeringfrailties,especiallytheunder-employmentoftheWest.TheongoingpoliticalupheavalsinTunisiaandEgyptaddedanothercrisistothefocusinDavos.TheForumarrangedaspecialsessionontheunfoldingactionsinNorthAfricaandtheMiddleEast,andmanyparticipantssoughtfrequentupdatesonthehistoricevents,wonderingwhetherthestreetprotests,inthewordsofthespecialsession,werea"tippingpointortsunami,"andwhethertheywouldresultina"softlandingorabloodyone."Still,cautiousoptimismprevailedamongthenationalandcorporateleadersinDavosthattheyhadtakentherightstepsforatleastthefinancialrecovery.Notalltheiractionshadworked,butonbalancetheyhad,andmanyoftheseleaderspromisednowtobetterpreparetheiragenciesorenterprisestomanagefuturethreatsinaworldthathasbecomeevermoresubjecttolow-probabilitybuthigh-consequenceevents.TheHaitianearthquakeandBPoilspillintheGulfofMexicoservedasrecentremindersthatenormouscatastropheswerenotonlyfinancial--andthatmuchremainedtobedoneformanagingextremerisksinaworldmorevulnerablethanever---本文来源于网络，仅供参考，勿照抄，如有侵权请联系删除---tobothnaturalandunnaturalcalamities.Theagendagoingforward:continuetomonitorfinancialinstitutionsandsovereigndebttopreventsystemiccollapse,buildalearningnetwork,redesigntheboardandrewirethemind.ContinuingVigilanceSeveralofthemorethan35nationalleadersinDavosvowedtousetheirstatepowerstoavoidanyfinancialrelapse.Ifgovernmentshadlearnedanythingfromtheneardeathexperienceofthecrisis,itwastomoreeffectivelyoverseerisktakersandtheirshort-term,self-interesteddecisions."Wewerestandingonthebrinkofanabyss,"saidFrenchPresidentNicolasSarkozyofthefinancialcrisis,"andwehadtoact."Butnewperilsarenowleadingtowardnewbrinks,hewarned,includingtheteeteringsovereigndebtofseveralEuropeannationsandaquestioningoftheeuro.Inthewakeofthebankingcrisis,governmentsmustagainactboldlytopreventfurtherupheaval."TheeuroisEurope,"hedeclared."Wewillneverlettheeurobedestroyed."GermanChancellorAngelaMerkeladdedherowndefenseofthecurrency,sayingitis"theembodimentofEuropetoday.Shouldtheeurofail,Europewillfail."Shealsosoughttougheroversightoftheplayersthathadbroughtonthefinancialmeltdowntobeginwith:"Ialwayssaidtherewouldbeanewdeckofcardsonthetableafterthecrisis,"thoughgovernmentshavenotyetmanagedtodealalltherightcards."Dowehavethenecessarymechanismsinplacetoensuresustainablegrowthglobally?Wehavelaiddownthegroundwork,"shestated,"butwearenotthereyet."Similarly,U.S.TreasurySecretaryTimothyGeithnerwarnedthat,despitesi新疆uartersofGDPgrowthintheU.S.,nationalleadersstillhadworktodoto"takecatastrophicrisksoutofthemark...