【每日新闻】中国官方否认策划人民币贬值（双语）TherenminbihassuffereditssteepestweeklyfallagainsttheUSdollarsinceChinareformeditsexchangeratesystemin2005inamovethatsomeeconomistshaveinterpretedasawarningfromthecountry'scentralbanktocurrencyspeculators・Therenminbiposteditsseventhstraightdailydeclineyesterday,sliding0.02percentagainstthedollartocloseat6.1244havinghititslowestlevelsinceearlyAugustinintradaytrading.OnepopulartheoryamongeconomistsandinvestorsisthatthePeople'sBankofChinaengineeredthedepreciationbecauseitwasconcernedabouthugeinflowsofcapitalinrecentmonthsandwantedtoshowmarketsthattradingthecurrencywasnotaone-waybet.Analystshadbeenforecastingacontinuationoftheappreciationseensincelate2012.However,theChinesecentralbankuseditsfirstofficialstatementonthesuddenweakeningofthecountry'scurrencytosaythesell-offwasareflectionofmarketforcesandshouldnotbeover-interpreted.TheStateAdministrationofForeignExchange,anagencyunderthecentralbank,didnotacknowledgeanyroleinguidingthecurrency."Therecentmovementoftherenminbiexchangerateistheresultofmarketplayersadjustingtheirnear-termtradingstrategies,"itsaid.“Thedegreeofexchangeratevolatilityisnormalbythestandardsofdevelopedandemergingmarkets.HAfterhugeinvestmentandtradeinflowsatthestartoftheyear,therewasaclearreversalofthetrendinFebruary,accordingtoChinaFinancialNews,acentralbanknewspaper.“Riskappetitehasweakenedsomewhatbecauseoflower-than-expectedgrowthdata・Also,concernsaboutthepropertymarkethaveincreased^saidPengWensheng,aneconomistwithChinaInternationalCapitalCorp,theresearchgroup.However,thehandofthe?Chinesecentralbank,whichkeepsatightgripontheexchangerate,hasbeenevident.Whenthecurrencystartedfallinglastweekitwasthecentralbankthatsteadilylowereditsdailyreferencerate,whilebanksandcompaniescontinuedtotradeitatastrongerlevel.Itwasonlyoverthepasttwodaysthatthemarket-tradedexchangeratefellbelowthedailyratesetbythecentralbank一asignthatBei激nghas,fornow,succeededinbreakingatleastsomeoftheone-waybetsonappreciation.Chinafacedimmensecapitalinflowsatthestartofthisyear,accordingtodatapublishedonTuesdaybythecentralbank.Banksboughtanet$73bnofforeigncurrencyintheonshoremarketfromtheirdientswhowantedrenminbiinJanuary,thebiggestmonthlyamountonrecord.InflowshavebeenacceleratingsincethemiddleoflastyearwhenChina'smountainofforeignexchangereservesgrewby$500bnto$3.8tn.人民币兑美元汇率出现白2005年屮国实施汇改以來的最人单周跌幅。一•些经济学家将这解读为中国央行对外汇投机者发出的一次警告。昨口，人民币汇率连续第7天下跌，人民币兑美元汇率收跌0.02%,至1美元兑6.1244元人民币，盘中一度创下去年8刀初以来的低点。经济学家和投资者较认可的一个解读是，中国央行策划了这波人民币贬值，因为其对近几刀的巨额资金流入感到担心，想向市场表明单向押注人民币汇率走势是行不通的。2012年末以来，分析师一肓预测人民币会持续升值。然而，中国央行在其就人民币突然贬值发表的首份官方声明屮表示，这是市场力量的反映，不应过分解读。中国央行下局的屮国国家外汇管理局不承认在引导汇率走势方面发挥了什么作用。该局表示：“近期人民币汇率走势是市场主体调整丽期人民币交易策略的结果。“这次汇率波动幅度与发达和新兴市场货币的波动相比加于止常波动。屮国央行主管的报纸《金融时报》(ChineseFinancialNews)报道称，在今年初出现巨大的投资与贸易流入之后，2月份趋势发牛:了明显的逆转。中国国际金融公司(CICC)经济学家彭文生说：“风险偏好下降的原因多少在于逊于预期的增长数据。另外，房地产市场引起的担忧也有所加剧。”然而，一直严格管控汇率的中国央行在这波人民币贬值中的作用是显而易见的。上周人民币汇率开始下跌时，是中国央行在稳步下调人民币汇率中间价，而银行和企业则在不断将人民币汇率水平推高至中间价上方。只是在过去两大里，市场交易给出的人民币汇率才降至屮国央行设定的屮间价下方。这一迹象表明，北京方面冃前至少在一定程度上打破了人民币单边升值预期。小国央行周二发布的数据显示，今年初流入小国的资金规模十分庞人。今年1月，银行在在岸市场从想持有人民币的客八手中净买入了730亿美元的外汇，创下了最大的单刀买入量。去年年中，中国的巨额外汇储备增加了5000亿美元,达到3.8丿j亿美元。自那以來，资金一直在加速流入屮国。原文来自必克英语bbs.spiiker/topio12274
