AnalysisoftheChineseconsumerconfidenceindex[Abstract]observedconsumerconfidenceindexisamoresensitivenationaleconomicdevelopmentandchangethebasiceconomicparametersofthispaper,nearlyayear’sconsumerconfidenceindex,basedoncombinedstateandnationaleconomicdevelopmenttrends,developmenttrendsoftheconsumerconfidenceindexfactoranalysis,includingpricelevels,incomeandemployment,housingandinvestments.[Keywords]consumerconfidence,consumerconfidenceindex,factoranalysisConsumerconfidence(ConsumerConfidence),wasalsoknownasconsumersentiment(ConsumerSentiment),referstotheconsumerinaccordancewithnationalorregionaleconomicdevelopmentsituation,employment,income,prices,interestratesandotherproblemsderivedfromacomprehensiveevaluationdifferentviewsandexpectationsinmanycountries,theconsumerconfidencemeasureisconsideredanecessarycomplementtothetotalconsumption.---本文于网络,仅供参考,勿照抄,如有侵权请联系删除---ConsumerConfidenceIndex(ConsumerConfidenceIndex,CCI)toreflectthestrengthofconsumerconfidenceindicatorisacomprehensivereflectionandquantitativeevaluationofthecurrenteconomicsituationofconsumersandtheeconomicoutlook,incomelevel,incomeexpectationsandtheconsumer’ssubjectivefeelingsofmentalstate,topredicteconomictrendsandconsumertrendsasaleadingindicator,isessentialtomonitorchangesintheeconomiccyclebasis,socialandeconomiclifeisanimportanteconomicindicator,isusedtoforecastchangesinthemarketindicators.Consumerconfidenceindexfromtheconsumersatisfactionindexandtheconsumerexpectationsindexcomposition,ofwhichtheconsumersatisfactionindexisareflectionofcurrenteconomicconditionsandconsumerdurablegoodspurchasetimingevaluationindicators,consumerexpectationsindexreflectsconsumers’familiesconditionsandtheoveralleconomytotheexpectedtarget.consumersatisfactionindexandtheconsumerexpectationsindex,respectively,constitutedbyanumberoftwoindicators:theincome,qualityoflife,macroeconomy,consumerspending,employment,purchasesofconsumerdurablesandsavingsofsatisfactionandexpectedthecoming---本文于网络,仅供参考,勿照抄,如有侵权请联系删除---yearandthenexttwoyearsinthepurchaseandrenovationofhousing,buyingacarandthenextsixmonths,theforecastchangesinthemarket,sowetheconsumerandtherelatedfactorsthateconomictheorycanbesummarizedasthefactorsthatinfluenceconsumerconfidence.Februaryfrom2010-2011,a14-monthconsumerconfidenceindexgraphcanbeseenfromthebeginninginAugust2010,consumerspendingindexwasstrictlydownwardtrend,107.3downto99.6,indicatingthatconsumerspendingwilldecline,theexpectedinflationconcernsincrease,thecurrenteconomicsituationandoveralleconomictrendsarenotoptimisticaboutthefutureorforfuzzystate,lackofconsumerconfidence,consumersatisfactiondown.So,whatcausesthedeclineinconsumerconfidence,Weanalyzethefollowingaspects:(Ariseinconsumerinflationexpectations,especiallyforconcernsaboutrapidlyrisingfoodprices,leadingtoconsumptionwilldecline.AccordingtotheU.S.ResearchCouncil(ScienceResearchCouncil)SRC’slong-termstudieshaveshownthatconsumers’inflationexpectationsandCPIhasahighdegreeofcorrelation,andevensuggeste---本文于网络,仅供参考,勿照抄,如有侵权请联系删除---dthatconsumerstendtobehigherthantheestimatedinflation-relatedprofessionalsfaceofrapidlyrisingpricesandconsumerinflationforecastresultinginconsumersturntheirattentiontoinvestmentin2010maintainahighgrowthrateofCPIinfla...